Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.