Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
