Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Sandhausen win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Sandhausen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Sandhausen would win this match.
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