Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
