Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.