SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Magdeburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
45.91% ( 0.14) | 25.38% ( -0.06) | 28.71% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( 0.23) | 49.75% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% ( 0.2) | 71.76% ( -0.2) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( 0.16) | 21.67% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.19% ( 0.24) | 54.81% ( -0.24) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( 0.06) | 31.51% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.1% ( 0.07) | 67.9% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.91% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.71% |
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