SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | FC Koln |
42.97% ( 0.21) | 23.84% ( -0.05) | 33.19% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.14% ( 0.2) | 40.85% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.76% ( 0.2) | 63.24% ( -0.2) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( 0.17) | 19.29% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( 0.29) | 51.04% ( -0.29) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( -0) | 24.16% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( -0) | 58.47% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.19% |
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