SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Greuther Furth |
50.1% ( -0.17) | 22.65% ( 0.02) | 27.25% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.56% ( 0.05) | 38.44% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.27% ( 0.06) | 60.73% ( -0.06) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% ( -0.04) | 15.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.44% ( -0.07) | 44.56% ( 0.07) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( 0.14) | 26.72% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% ( 0.18) | 61.99% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.25% |
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