SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.37%. A win for Preussen Munster had a probability of 22.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Preussen Munster win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preussen Munster | Draw | FC Koln |
22.94% ( 0.08) | 21.69% ( 0.15) | 55.37% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( -0.59) | 38.16% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( -0.64) | 60.43% ( 0.64) |
| Preussen Munster Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.27) | 29.87% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( -0.33) | 65.96% ( 0.33) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( -0.26) | 13.76% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.96% ( -0.53) | 41.04% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preussen Munster | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 22.94% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.55% Total : 55.37% |
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