Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.