SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for SC Paderborn in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | SC Paderborn |
37.34% ( -1.04) | 24.97% ( 0.22) | 37.69% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.49% ( -1.03) | 45.5% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.16% ( -0.99) | 67.83% ( 0.99) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -1.01) | 24.01% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( -1.46) | 58.27% ( 1.46) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( -0.04) | 23.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( -0.05) | 58% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 2% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.69% |
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