Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.34) 
