SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Nuremberg |
64.79% ( 0.8) | 18.09% ( -0.11) | 17.11% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 63.79% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.77) | 29.47% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.44% ( -0.94) | 50.55% ( 0.93) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.34% ( -0.04) | 8.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.16% ( -0.09) | 29.83% ( 0.09) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( -1.2) | 30.16% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( -1.46) | 66.31% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 64.79% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.09% | 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.44% Total : 17.11% |
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