Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.