Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hannover would win this match.
