Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for SC Paderborn in this match.
