Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.