Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
