Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.