Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
