Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.
