Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
SSV Ulm | Draw | Greuther Furth |
25.42% ( -0.17) | 22.39% ( -0.01) | 52.19% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 60.97% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.17% ( -0.11) | 38.82% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.86% ( -0.12) | 61.13% ( 0.12) |
SSV Ulm Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% ( -0.19) | 28.26% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% ( -0.24) | 63.97% ( 0.24) |
Greuther Furth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% ( 0.02) | 15.01% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% ( 0.04) | 43.47% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
SSV Ulm | Draw | Greuther Furth |
2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 25.42% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 52.19% |
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