SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | SSV Ulm |
62.65% ( -0.59) | 20.06% ( 0.09) | 17.28% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.14% ( 0.54) | 38.86% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.83% ( 0.56) | 61.17% ( -0.56) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% ( 0) | 11.86% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.85% ( -0) | 37.14% ( 0) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( 0.92) | 35.81% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( 0.93) | 72.59% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | SSV Ulm |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.25)1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.01% Total : 62.65% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.28% |
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