SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
23.65% ( -0.27) | 22.38% ( -0.08) | 53.96% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.41% ( 0.08) | 40.6% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.03% ( 0.09) | 62.98% ( -0.08) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( -0.18) | 30.62% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.15% ( -0.22) | 66.86% ( 0.22) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% ( 0.15) | 15.04% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.46% ( 0.28) | 43.54% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
| 2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 23.65% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 53.97% |
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