Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
