SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 30.98% | 25.33% | 43.69% |
| Both teams to score 55.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% | 48.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% | 70.59% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% | 29.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.8% | 65.2% |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% | 22.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.48% | 55.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.98% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.69% |
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