Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
