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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 20, 2021 at 12pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
SD

St Pauli
3 - 2
SV Darmstadt 98

Burgstaller (26', 82'), Marmoush (62')
Marmoush (85'), Zander (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Skarke (64'), Dursun (66')
Rapp (69'), Kempe (73')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and SV Darmstadt 98.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawSV Darmstadt 98
39.16%25.05%35.78%
Both teams to score 57.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54%45.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7%68.3%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72%23.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79%57.21%
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21%59.79%
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 39.16%
    SV Darmstadt 98 35.78%
    Draw 25.05%
St PauliDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 8.58%
1-0 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.21%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.1%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.78%

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