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DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Mar 3, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Essen

RWE
0 - 3
Holstein Kiel


Grote (24')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Muhling (26' pen.), Serra (28'), Mees (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 12.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawHolstein Kiel
12.13%17.73%70.14%
Both teams to score 51.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75%39.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41%61.58%
Rot-Weiss Essen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.89%43.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.62%79.37%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.96%10.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.89%33.11%
Score Analysis
    Rot-Weiss Essen 12.13%
    Holstein Kiel 70.13%
    Draw 17.73%
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawHolstein Kiel
1-0 @ 3.64%
2-1 @ 3.52%
2-0 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.14%
3-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 12.13%
1-1 @ 8.37%
0-0 @ 4.33%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 17.73%
0-2 @ 11.43%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-3 @ 8.76%
1-3 @ 7.37%
0-4 @ 5.04%
1-4 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 3.1%
0-5 @ 2.32%
1-5 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.78%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 70.13%

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