Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
