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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 27, 2021 at 12pm UK
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Muhling (80' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Samson (61'), Fandrich (90+2')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Holstein Kiel in this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawErzgebirge Aue
59.46%21.88%18.66%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18%44.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82%67.18%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31%14.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13%42.88%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19%37.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41%74.59%
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 59.45%
    Erzgebirge Aue 18.66%
    Draw 21.88%
Holstein KielDrawErzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 6.35%
4-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.2%
5-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.45%
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 5.56%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 5.4%
1-2 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 18.66%

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