Holstein Kiel
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Muhling (80' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Samson (61'), Fandrich (90+2')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Holstein Kiel in this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
59.46%	21.88%	18.66%

Both teams to score 53.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18%

44.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82%

67.18%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31%

14.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.13%

42.88%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.19%

37.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.41%

74.59%

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 59.45%

Erzgebirge Aue 18.66%

Draw 21.88%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 6.35% 4-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.45%	1-1 @ 10.36% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 5.4% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.66%