SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Osnabruck | Draw | Nuremberg |
31.08% ( 0.26) | 23.32% ( 0.23) | 45.59% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 62.15% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.78% ( -1) | 39.22% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.45% ( -1.05) | 61.55% ( 1.05) |
| VfL Osnabruck Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.33) | 24.61% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( -0.46) | 59.12% ( 0.46) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -0.59) | 17.55% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.9% ( -1.03) | 48.09% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Osnabruck | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.08% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.94% Total : 45.59% |
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