Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 56.23%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.03) 
