Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
