Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.22) 
