Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for KTP had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a KTP win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
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