SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
33.51% ( 1.49) | 25.13% ( -0.07) | 41.36% ( -1.43) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% ( 0.75) | 46.74% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31% ( 0.7) | 69% ( -0.7) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( 1.3) | 26.78% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( 1.68) | 62.06% ( -1.69) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( -0.36) | 22.51% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( -0.54) | 56.08% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.36% |
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