SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for KTP in this match.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
38.19% ( -0.95) | 25.6% ( 0.39) | 36.2% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( -1.73) | 48.43% ( 1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( -1.59) | 70.57% ( 1.58) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( -1.28) | 24.89% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% ( -1.81) | 59.5% ( 1.8) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -0.49) | 25.99% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% ( -0.66) | 61.01% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.19% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.36% Total : 36.2% |
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