SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
37.24% ( 0.14) | 26.13% ( 0.01) | 36.62% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% ( -0.03) | 50.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( -0.03) | 72.62% ( 0.02) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( 0.06) | 26.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.34% ( 0.09) | 61.66% ( -0.09) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( -0.09) | 26.83% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.87% ( -0.13) | 62.13% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.62% |
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