Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.