SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 28.65% | 25.3% | 46.05% |
| Both teams to score 53.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% | 49.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% | 71.48% |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% | 31.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.23% | 67.77% |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% | 21.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.48% | 54.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-2 @ 7.98% 1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.05% |
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