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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 6
May 11, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Tammela Stadium
HL

Ilves
0 - 3
HJK Helsinki


Loa Loa (22'), Siira (33'), Katz (46'), Mommo (77')
FT(HT: 0-3)
O'Shaughnessy (8'), Lingman (25'), Terho (30')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and HJK Helsinki.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawHJK Helsinki
28.65%25.3%46.05%
Both teams to score 53.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55%49.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51%71.48%
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6%31.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23%67.77%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52%21.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.48%54.51%
Score Analysis
    Ilves 28.65%
    HJK Helsinki 46.05%
    Draw 25.29%
IlvesDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.53%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 4.74%
0-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.82%
0-4 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.05%

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