Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
