Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.