SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for SJK had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a SJK win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 24.04% | 26.02% | 49.94% |
| Both teams to score 47.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% | 55.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% | 76.59% |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.59% | 38.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.84% | 75.16% |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% | 22.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.35% | 55.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% 2-1 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 3.91% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.04% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 12.83% 0-2 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-3 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 4.63% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.94% |
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