SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Gnistan |
45.77% ( -0.07) | 26.05% ( 0.18) | 28.18% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( -0.76) | 52.76% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( -0.65) | 74.39% ( 0.66) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( -0.35) | 23.01% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( -0.52) | 56.81% ( 0.53) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.48) | 33.49% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( -0.53) | 70.12% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Gnistan |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.77% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.18% |
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