SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Haka had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Ilves |
29.1% ( 0.02) | 25.93% ( 0.01) | 44.97% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% ( -0.03) | 51.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( -0.03) | 73.56% ( 0.03) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% ( 0) | 32.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% ( 0) | 68.77% ( -0) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.03) | 22.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( -0.04) | 56.75% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.11% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.96% |
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