SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Lahti |
43.78% ( 0) | 26.27% ( -0.02) | 29.95% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( 0.09) | 52.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% ( 0.07) | 74.42% ( -0.07) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( 0.04) | 23.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% ( 0.05) | 58.21% ( -0.05) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( 0.06) | 32.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.34% ( 0.07) | 68.66% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.95% |
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