Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
