SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for KTP had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a KTP win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | Ilves |
23.83% ( -0.02) | 24.28% ( -0.01) | 51.89% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( 0.03) | 48.78% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( 0.03) | 70.88% ( -0.03) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( -0) | 34.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( -0) | 71.68% ( 0) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( 0.02) | 18.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.82% ( 0.04) | 50.18% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.83% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.89% |
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