SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for KTP had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | Inter Turku |
32.62% ( 0.41) | 25.79% ( -0.06) | 41.58% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% ( 0.37) | 49.88% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( 0.33) | 71.88% ( -0.33) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( 0.45) | 28.87% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( 0.56) | 64.74% ( -0.56) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.01) | 23.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% ( -0.02) | 57.93% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.62% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.58% |
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