SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Inter Turku |
33.4% ( 0.04) | 27.33% ( -0.06) | 39.28% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( 0.23) | 55.91% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.98% ( 0.19) | 77.02% ( -0.19) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( 0.14) | 31.38% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( 0.17) | 67.74% ( -0.17) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( 0.12) | 27.76% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.66% ( 0.15) | 63.34% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.39% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.28% |
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